Understanding when a game's outcome is effectively decided
Garbage time refers to the final minutes of a game when the outcome is no longer in doubt. During this period, teams often substitute bench players for starters, and the intensity of play typically decreases since the result is effectively decided.
We use the same garbage time detection methodology as Cleaning the Glass.
A game enters garbage time when all of the following conditions are met:
Q4, 3:00 remaining, 22-point lead, only 1 starter on court for each team (2 total)
Q4, 3:00 remaining, 22-point lead, but 3 starters still on court combined
Q4, 6:00 remaining, 18-point lead, only 1 starter on court - margin not large enough for time remaining
Identifying garbage time is important for accurate statistical analysis. Stats accumulated during garbage time can be misleading when evaluating player or team performance, as the competitive intensity is significantly reduced.
Games that entered garbage time are marked with a 🗑️ emoji on: